tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Austin via Minneapolis: arrives on time 58%

  1. 07:45 DCA → 09:27 MSP
    DL 1493 · Delta · 2h 42m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 MSP → 12:53 AUS
    DL 2062 · Delta · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 10mDCA 07:45 to AUS 12:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.