tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Diego via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 07:45 DCA → 09:27 MSP
    DL 1493 · Delta · 2h 42m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:38 MSP → 13:29 SAN
    DL 2125 · Delta · 3h 51m · 81% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 44mDCA 07:45 to SAN 13:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.