tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:45 DCA → 09:27 MSP
    DL 1493 · Delta · 2h 42m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 MSP → 12:26 LAS
    DL 2238 · Delta · 3h 18m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 43mDCA 07:45 to LAS 12:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.