tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Valparaiso via Minneapolis: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:45 DCA → 09:27 MSP
    DL 1493 · Delta · 2h 42m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 MSP → 13:10 VPS
    DL 2462 · Delta · 2h 40m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 25mDCA 07:45 to VPS 13:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.