tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Madison via Minneapolis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:45 DCA → 09:27 MSP
    DL 1493 · Delta · 2h 42m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:55 MSP → 14:05 MSN
    DL 4032 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 10m · 84% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 163 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 20mDCA 07:45 to MSN 14:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.