tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Knoxville via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 19:55 MCO → 21:48 ATL
    DL 1497 · Delta · 1h 53m · 67% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:53 ATL → 23:54 TYS
    DL 3072 · Delta · 1h 01m · 81% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip3h 59mMCO 19:55 to TYS 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.