tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:00 SRQ → 07:43 ATL
    DL 1499 · Delta · 1h 40m · 94% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 ATL → 10:43 LGA
    DL 513 · Delta · 2h 13m · 88% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 43mSRQ 06:00 to LGA 10:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.