tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:00 SRQ → 07:43 ATL
    DL 1499 · Delta · 1h 40m · 94% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:57 ATL → 12:55 DCA
    AA 3976 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 58m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 55mSRQ 06:00 to DCA 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.