tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 SRQ → 07:43 ATL
    DL 1499 · Delta · 1h 40m · 94% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:24 ATL → 11:49 LGA
    AA 4628 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 91% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 49mSRQ 06:00 to LGA 11:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.