tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:16 HOU → 13:20 ATL
    DL 1509 · Delta · 2h 04m · 88% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 ATL → 16:15 MDW
    DL 1728 · Delta · 2h 00m · 77% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 59mHOU 10:16 to MDW 16:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.