tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 10:16 HOU → 13:20 ATL
    DL 1509 · Delta · 2h 04m · 88% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 ATL → 17:04 ORD
    DL 2738 · Delta · 2h 16m · 62% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 50mHOU 10:16 to ORD 17:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.