tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 10:16 HOU → 13:20 ATL
    DL 1509 · Delta · 2h 04m · 88% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 ATL → 17:49 LGA
    DL 433 · Delta · 2h 19m · 71% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 33mHOU 10:16 to LGA 17:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.