tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 10:16 HOU → 13:20 ATL
    DL 1509 · Delta · 2h 04m · 88% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 ATL → 19:20 LGA
    DL 997 · Delta · 2h 20m · 68% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 04mHOU 10:16 to LGA 19:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.