tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 12:02 MIA → 14:09 ATL
    DL 1510 · Delta · 2h 07m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:08 ATL → 15:31 MEM
    DL 1700 · Delta · 1h 22m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip4h 28mMIA 12:02 to MEM 15:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.