tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 12:02 MIA → 14:09 ATL
    DL 1510 · Delta · 2h 07m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 ATL → 16:15 MDW
    DL 1728 · Delta · 2h 00m · 77% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 13mMIA 12:02 to MDW 16:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.