tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Santa Ana via Atlanta: arrives on time 67%

  1. 12:02 MIA → 14:09 ATL
    DL 1510 · Delta · 2h 07m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 ATL → 19:06 SNA
    DL 2012 · Delta · 4h 36m · 71% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip10h 04mMIA 12:02 to SNA 19:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.