tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 12:02 MIA → 14:09 ATL
    DL 1510 · Delta · 2h 07m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:14 ATL → 18:05 XNA
    DL 2771 · Delta · 1h 51m · 60% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 03mMIA 12:02 to XNA 18:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.