tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Richmond via New York: arrives on time 59%

  1. 15:25 MIA → 18:54 JFK
    DL 1514 · Delta · 3h 29m · 73% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 31m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 JFK → 23:22 RIC
    DL 4659 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 59m · 76% on time, 12.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 106 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 31m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (12.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 59mMIA 15:25 to RIC 23:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.