tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 59%

  1. 15:25 MIA → 18:54 JFK
    DL 1514 · Delta · 3h 29m · 73% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 JFK → 23:23 ORF
    DL 5326 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 54m · 71% on time, 7.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (7.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 58mMIA 15:25 to ORF 23:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.