tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Orlando via New York: arrives on time 45%

  1. 15:25 MIA → 18:54 JFK
    DL 1514 · Delta · 3h 29m · 73% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 JFK → 23:18 MCO
    DL 1740 · Delta · 3h 19m · 67% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 53mMIA 15:25 to MCO 23:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.