tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Tampa via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 12:55 MSP → 15:38 DTW
    DL 1519 · Delta · 1h 43m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 21m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 DTW → 22:35 TPA
    DL 1355 · Delta · 2h 40m · 77% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 216 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 21m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 44mMSP 12:55 to TPA 22:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.