tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Appleton via Detroit: arrives on time 71%

  1. 12:55 MSP → 15:38 DTW
    DL 1519 · Delta · 1h 43m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:24 DTW → 17:50 ATW
    DL 4166 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 74% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 57mMSP 12:55 to ATW 17:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.