tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 12:18 SNA → 19:41 ATL
    DL 1521 · Delta · 4h 23m · 85% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 ATL → 22:47 DCA
    DL 378 · Delta · 1h 52m · 66% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 29mSNA 12:18 to DCA 22:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.