tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 62%

  1. 12:18 SNA → 19:41 ATL
    DL 1521 · Delta · 4h 23m · 85% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 ATL → 23:23 LGA
    DL 520 · Delta · 2h 23m · 72% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 05mSNA 12:18 to LGA 23:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.