tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → New York via Louisville: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:35 ATL → 08:54 SDF
    DL 1523 · Delta · 1h 19m · 94% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Louisville (SDF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:42 SDF → 13:58 LGA
    DL 5643 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 16m · 85% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 23mATL 07:35 to LGA 13:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.