tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 10:00 SDF → 11:24 ATL
    DL 1523 · Delta · 1h 24m · 94% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:47 ATL → 15:43 DTW
    DL 1031 · Delta · 1h 55m · 85% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 42mSDF 10:00 to DTW 15:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.