tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 10:00 SDF → 11:24 ATL
    DL 1523 · Delta · 1h 24m · 94% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 ATL → 16:47 IAD
    DL 1695 · Delta · 1h 48m · 78% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 47mSDF 10:00 to IAD 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.