tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:00 SDF → 11:24 ATL
    DL 1523 · Delta · 1h 24m · 94% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:02 ATL → 15:53 BWI
    DL 2799 · Delta · 1h 51m · 81% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 53mSDF 10:00 to BWI 15:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.