tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 81%

  1. 10:00 SDF → 11:24 ATL
    DL 1523 · Delta · 1h 24m · 94% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:31 ATL → 16:09 MSP
    DL 2825 · Delta · 2h 38m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 09mSDF 10:00 to MSP 16:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.