tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 10:00 SDF → 11:24 ATL
    DL 1523 · Delta · 1h 24m · 94% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:21 ATL → 13:57 MSP
    DL 2901 · Delta · 2h 36m · 87% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 57mSDF 10:00 to MSP 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.