tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 10:00 SDF → 11:24 ATL
    DL 1523 · Delta · 1h 24m · 94% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 ATL → 14:48 LGA
    DL 525 · Delta · 2h 18m · 75% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 48mSDF 10:00 to LGA 14:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.