tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 15:18 TPA → 16:54 ATL
    DL 1525 · Delta · 1h 36m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 ATL → 19:58 BHM
    DL 3202 · Delta · 58m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 40mTPA 15:18 to BHM 19:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.