tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:30 SMF → 08:11 SLC
    DL 1526 · Delta · 1h 41m · 97% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:59 SLC → 16:49 JFK
    DL 1792 · Delta · 4h 50m · 84% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 19mSMF 05:30 to JFK 16:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.