tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 69%

  1. 08:50 RDU → 10:20 ATL
    DL 1530 · Delta · 1h 30m · 90% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 12:12 PHX
    DL 796 · Delta · 4h 02m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 22mRDU 08:50 to PHX 12:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.