tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Atlanta via Minneapolis: arrives on time 40%

  1. 15:55 ORD → 17:40 MSP
    DL 1533 · Delta · 1h 45m · 62% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 MSP → 22:15 ATL
    DL 1026 · Delta · 2h 40m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 20mORD 15:55 to ATL 22:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.