tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Jackson via Minneapolis: arrives on time 58%

  1. 15:55 ORD → 17:40 MSP
    DL 1533 · Delta · 1h 45m · 62% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 MSP → 20:30 JAC
    DL 3925 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 40m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 35mORD 15:55 to JAC 20:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.