tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Wilmington via New York: arrives on time 47%

  1. 15:29 MIA → 18:47 LGA
    DL 1538 · Delta · 3h 18m · 72% on time, 6.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 LGA → 22:44 ILM
    DL 5204 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 14m · 62% on time, 10.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (6.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (10.5% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 15mMIA 15:29 to ILM 22:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.