tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Denver via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:10 PHL → 07:50 DTW
    DL 1540 · Delta · 1h 40m · 91% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 DTW → 09:53 DEN
    DL 1113 · Delta · 3h 13m · 87% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 43mPHL 06:10 to DEN 09:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.