tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Austin via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:10 PHL → 07:50 DTW
    DL 1540 · Delta · 1h 40m · 91% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:04 DTW → 11:00 AUS
    DL 1218 · Delta · 2h 56m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 50mPHL 06:10 to AUS 11:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.