tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Memphis via Detroit: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:10 PHL → 07:50 DTW
    DL 1540 · Delta · 1h 40m · 91% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:45 DTW → 09:41 MEM
    DL 3137 · Delta · 1h 59m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip4h 34mPHL 06:10 to MEM 09:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.