tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Las Vegas via Detroit: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:10 PHL → 07:50 DTW
    DL 1540 · Delta · 1h 40m · 91% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:59 DTW → 10:14 LAS
    DL 334 · Delta · 4h 15m · 82% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 04mPHL 06:10 to LAS 10:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.