tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 87%

  1. 06:10 PHL → 07:50 DTW
    DL 1540 · Delta · 1h 40m · 91% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:33 DTW → 11:04 ORD
    AA 4103 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 35m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 58mPHL 06:10 to ORD 11:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.