tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Traverse City via Detroit: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:10 PHL → 07:50 DTW
    DL 1540 · Delta · 1h 40m · 91% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 25m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 DTW → 13:27 TVC
    DL 3976 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 12m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 220 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 25m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 17mPHL 06:10 to TVC 13:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.