tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Dulles via Detroit: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:10 PHL → 07:50 DTW
    DL 1540 · Delta · 1h 40m · 91% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:13 DTW → 11:50 IAD
    UA 3500 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 37m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip5h 40mPHL 06:10 to IAD 11:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.