tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Santa Ana via Las Vegas: arrives on time 84%

  1. 14:51 MSP → 16:10 LAS
    DL 1542 · Delta · 3h 19m · 86% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:06 LAS → 19:28 SNA
    DL 4179 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 22m · 89% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 37mMSP 14:51 to SNA 19:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.