tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:00 MSP → 08:35 ORD
    DL 1544 · Delta · 1h 35m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:32 ORD → 13:55 STL
    AA 3815 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 23m · 86% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 55mMSP 07:00 to STL 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.