tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Norfolk via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:00 MSP → 08:35 ORD
    DL 1544 · Delta · 1h 35m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:22 ORD → 15:50 ORF
    UA 5449 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 28m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 50mMSP 07:00 to ORF 15:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.