tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:00 MSP → 08:35 ORD
    DL 1544 · Delta · 1h 35m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:35 ORD → 11:49 MSN
    UA 5843 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 14m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip4h 49mMSP 07:00 to MSN 11:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.