tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:00 MSP → 08:35 ORD
    DL 1544 · Delta · 1h 35m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:51 ORD → 14:14 TVC
    AA 6379 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 75% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Traverse City is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 106 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 14mMSP 07:00 to TVC 14:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.