tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:00 MSP → 08:35 ORD
    DL 1544 · Delta · 1h 35m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:00 ORD → 14:38 JFK
    AA 4356 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 38m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 38mMSP 07:00 to JFK 14:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.